Public PoR Transparency Registry

Exchange Reserve Transparency Whitepaper

Effective Proof-of-Reserves, Stage Framework, and Policy Roadmap

Field Value
Version 1.1 (2026-07-01)
Author ardmere
Status Working draft
Primary audience Regulators, institutional allocators, independent reviewers, exchange compliance teams
Secondary audience Retail users (Chapter 11.5)

Legal disclaimer. This document is an independent transparency and policy analysis. It is not investment advice, a custody recommendation, or an endorsement of any exchange. Public ratings bind to artifacts and verifier output; they do not guarantee solvency or safety.


Executive Summary

When users deposit crypto on a centralized exchange (CEX), they receive an IOU on the exchange ledger—not on-chain coins under their private keys. History has repeatedly shown that displayed balances can be wrong, incomplete, or unbacked. After the collapse of FTX in November 2022, Proof of Reserves (PoR) declarations spread rapidly across major exchanges. That wave improved narrative transparency but did not end custodial risk.

Four judgments that run through this whitepaper

  1. FTX did not end CeFi custody risk. Major freezes, hacks, fraud, and trust crises continued from 2023 through 2026 (AAX, JPEX, WazirX, 2139 Exchange, CoinUp, and others).
  2. The post-FTX PoR wave concentrated on Layer 1 (disclosure). Many post-FTX victims used unlicensed or fake “exchanges” (Layer 2). Binance/OKX PoR debates and JPEX-style fraud are different risk layers and must not be conflated.
  3. PoR narrative does not prevent crisis freezes. Regional exchanges can halt withdrawals within hours under trust shocks (AAX). Without PoR, rumors alone can trigger run expectations (CoinUp). PoR does not replace liquidity, security operations, or governance resilience.
  4. Effective PoR is not a panacea, but gaps can be named. Many failed platforms never offered independently verifiable disclosure. Standards should (a) constrain exchanges capable of disclosure, and (b) help users recognize platforms with no credible custody evidence.

Dual-layer risk model

Layer Typical objects Main failure modes Role of this whitepaper
Layer 1 — Disclosure Licensed or semi-regulated CEXs (Binance, OKX, AAX, WazirX, …) Weak disclosure, Stage 0 marketing, crisis freezes, post-hack inability to recover Primary scope: Stage framework, UNVERIFIABLE gaps, Stage 1 policy floor
Layer 2 — Admission Unlicensed fake “exchanges,” Ponzi fronts, OTC referral scams (JPEX, 2139, long-tail freeze sites) Never held real reserves; fake regulation; exit scams Not a PoR tech problem: licensing, enforcement, public warnings; user habit: no public artifact = no custody guarantee

Policy conclusions

Stage at a glance

Stage Name Effective PoR? User still trusts (primarily)
Pre-Stage No usable PoR No Brand, financial reports, regulation
Stage 0 Trust the exchange No Exchange narrative
Stage 1 Verifiable disclosure Yes (minimum) Proof boundaries, historical artifact maintenance
Stage 2 Trust-minimized PoR Yes (aspirational) Cryptography, public data, canonical on-chain records

Current industry snapshot (ardmere public evaluation set, mid-2026): OKX reaches Stage 1 on assessed snapshot 508399035 (Jun 2026); Binance, Bybit, Bitget, Gate.io, and HTX remain Stage 0 with documented gaps. See Chapter 10 and snapshot history.

Reader paths

Reader Start here Also read
Regulators / policy Executive Summary, Ch. 5, 7, 8, 11 Ch. 3, Appendix H
Institutions / risk Executive Summary, Ch. 5, 7, 9 Ch. 10, Appendix A
Exchange compliance Ch. 5, 6, 7, 8 Ch. 9, Appendix A
Independent reviewers / media Ch. 3, 5, 6, 9 Appendix C–E, H
Retail users Executive Summary, Ch. 1–3, Ch. 11.5 Ch. 10 (gaps only); do not rely on exchange PoR marketing alone

Part I — Where the Problem Comes From

Chapter 1 — The User View: What You Actually Hold on an Exchange

1.1 After you deposit

On-chain assets move into exchange-controlled wallets. Your account balance is a liability entry on the exchange’s books—an IOU. You do not control those coins with your keys until you withdraw. Legally and technically, you are often an unsecured or specially treated creditor, depending on jurisdiction—not a bailor who “owns coins in a vault.”

1.2 Six common misconceptions

User intuition Reality
“Large platforms must be safe.” Scale ≠ reserve transparency. The largest venues have also failed.
“Listed or audited means my balance is verified.” Financial audit addresses company financial statements, not necessarily your account inside a verifiable liability set.
“I can log in and withdraw, so I’m fine.” Bank runs favor first movers; withdrawal halts often arrive without warning.
“A PoR announcement = 100% reserves.” Many PoR programs cover partial assets/liabilities or cannot be independently reproduced.
“After FTX, the industry learned.” 2023–2026 still saw AAX, JPEX, WazirX, CoinUp-scale events; the PoR wave did not reach unlicensed Layer 2 platforms.
“Official denial + normal deposits/withdrawals = no problem.” Without effective PoR, users cannot independently verify; denials are not substitutes for artifacts (CoinUp, June 2026).

1.3 Runs and liquidity

CEX balances feel like demand deposits. In stress, everyone wants out at once. Exchanges may impose queues, “maintenance,” or full halts—sometimes within hours (FTX, AAX). Annual financial audits are too slow for this risk profile; users need shorter-cycle snapshots with public evidence.

1.4 Bankruptcy

In insolvency, users typically join a creditor queue, not a “return my property” line. Customer-asset segregation rules vary by country. PoR does not change bankruptcy law; it provides ex-ante evidence about whether liabilities were backed at a defined snapshot.

1.5 Self-custody and PoR

PoR improves custodial transparency; it does not eliminate the choice to self-custody. Lost private keys have no bankruptcy court. Policy should understand both paths: self-custody shifts key risk to the user; CEX custody shifts IOU and platform risk to the user.

1.6 Closing thought

Users do not need slogans. They need public evidence before a crisis that what the platform owes them is covered by assets the platform controls—evidence outsiders can fetch and re-verify.


Chapter 2 — Industry History: From “Trust the Platform” to “Show Evidence”

Four phases

Phase Period Theme What users learned (in hindsight)
I 2010–2014 Early custody: exchange as on-ramp; no disclosure culture “Balance on screen” was unchecked
II 2015–2019 Hacks and insolvencies; PoR still not routine Even surviving giants could socialize losses
III 2020–H1 2022 CeFi expansion, earn/leverage, hidden rehypothecation Spot balance ≠ all economic exposure
IV H2 2022–present FTX → PoR declaration wave → uneven quality; failures continue PoR PR ≠ end of freezes or fraud

Timeline (selected)

2013–14  Merkle liability-proof ideas │ Mt. Gox
2016     Bitfinex hack │ socialized loss
2018–19  Coincheck, QuadrigaCX
2020     Early CEX PoR experiments (e.g. Gate.io)
2022.02  Kraken systematic PoR audits
2022.06  3AC collapse → CeFi contagion
2022.11  FTX │ industry-wide PoR surge
2022.11  AAX withdrawal freeze (immediate aftershock)
2023     JPEX (Hong Kong)
2023+    zk-SNARK/STARK PoR at major venues
2024.07  WazirX hack + governance crisis
2024.09  2139 Exchange-style exit scams
2026.06  CoinUp “exit” rumors & trust crisis (unconfirmed shutdown)

Phase IV closes with a pivot to dual-layer risk (Chapter 3.3): PoR marketing spread among Layer 1 headlines while Layer 2 scams continued under the same word “exchange.”


Chapter 3 — Major Cases: What Users Paid

3.1 Before FTX (selected)

Case Year User harm Lesson
Mt. Gox 2014 Years-long withdrawal freeze; partial repayment Displayed balances can be wrong for years
Bitfinex 2016 Socialized loss (BFX token) “Too big to fail” still hurts users
QuadrigaCX 2019 Long freeze; cold wallets effectively empty “Only CEO knows keys” is unacceptable
3AC / CeFi chain 2022 Contagion through opaque leverage Deposits may fund upstream risk
Celsius et al. 2022 Earn freezes Spot PoR scope may exclude earn liabilities
FTX 2022.11 Rapid halt; bankruptcy recovery Brand, funding, partial audit ≠ verifiable reserves

3.2 After FTX: failures and “exits” continued

Conclusion to state plainly: FTX did not end CeFi custody risk. After November 2022, users still faced freezes, hacks, fraud, and trust crises—different mechanisms, same user predicament: no independent verification before the event; creditor treatment after.

Type A — Regional CEX: freeze then effective shutdown

AAX (Atom Asset Exchange), from Nov 2022: Hong Kong venue; cited “system maintenance” to halt withdrawals after FTX; later delisted social channels, offices closed; liquidation and criminal investigations alleging large outflows during the “maintenance” period. ~2M users affected per public reports. PoR wave had barely started; users could not verify “no FTX exposure” claims.

Type B — Unlicensed / fraudulent “exchanges”

JPEX (2023): Unlicensed in Hong Kong; offline promotion and high-yield narratives; SFC warnings; withdrawal friction then collapse. No effective PoR—Layer 2 admission failure, not a Binance Stage 0 debate.

2139 Exchange (2024): CONSOB blocking orders; Ponzi-like yields; mass withdrawal freeze and on-chain outflows. No real trading or reserve program—fraud, not disclosure tuning.

Type C — Security + governance failure

WazirX (from Jul 2024): ~$230M multisig hack; trading/withdrawals suspended; restructuring disputes. Not classic embezzlement, but user outcome resembles a run—brand history did not prevent long freezes.

Type D — Long-tail fake exchanges

Patterns like OrangeX complaints: deposits accepted, withdrawals blocked behind endless KYC/fees—often Layer 2; PoR standards do not audit platforms that never intended to pay.

Type E — Unconfirmed exit / trust crisis (platform still operating)

CoinUp (Jun 2026): Derivatives venue; public warnings involving associated persons; “exit” rumors; CPX token sell pressure; official denials of shutdown and claims of normal deposits/withdrawals. No independently reproducible effective PoR at time of writing; users relied on announcements. Not confirmed as shutdown—classify as trust crisis until regulatory/judicial findings change.

Writing rule: do not label Type E as “confirmed exit” without primary sources; footnote dated press reports.

3.3 Cross-case conclusions: dual-layer risk and PoR limits

The Executive Summary dual-layer table and four judgments apply across Types A–E. Case-specific emphasis:

Do not treat every post-FTX failure as “PoR failure.” Do not use Layer 2 fraud to dismiss Layer 1 disclosure standards.


Chapter 4 — Rise of PoR: From Ideas to Marketing Language

4.1 Origins (2013–2014)

Merkle-sum trees and early proof-of-solvency research combined liability commitments with reserve evidence, enabling privacy-preserving aggregation.

4.2 Early practice (2020–2022.2)

Venues such as Gate.io and Kraken systematized Merkle-based approaches; adoption remained uneven.

4.3 Post-FTX declaration wave (from Nov 2022)

Merkle and zk-SNARK PoR became standard PR. Technical capability improved; policy-grade reproducibility often did not.

4.4 Six gaps between marketing and verification

Marketing phrase What outsiders can actually verify
“Audited” Financial audit or reproducible PoR artifacts?
“Reserve ratio > 100%” Which liabilities included (earn, margin, sub-accounts)?
“Verify your own proof” Inclusion only ≠ exchange-wide solvency
“ZK verified” If wallet lists / vk / global proof not public → cannot rerun
“We all did PoR after FTX” Existence of a page ≠ third-party reproduction; Layer 2 never did
“Industry is transparent now” AAX/JPEX/WazirX/CoinUp timeline contradicts blanket safety

4.5 What PoR can and cannot do (preview)

Effective disclosure helps with PoR alone does not solve
Snapshot-bound, reproducible reserve/liability evidence Layer 2 licensing and fraud enforcement
Separating Stage 0 marketing from Stage 1 thresholds Hacks, multisig failures (WazirX class)
Naming UNVERIFIABLE gaps Liquidity crises and withdrawal queues

4.6 Transition to Part II

Headline PoR quality remains uneven; fake platforms still acquire users under the word “exchange.” Why PoR audit must complement financial audit → Chapter 5. Operational Stage standards → Chapters 6–8.

4.7 Literature note

Academic proof-of-solvency work dates to ~2015; Vitalik’s 2022 “safe CEX” essay and major-venue zk/Merkle specs mark a second wave. IOSCO, Hong Kong SFC, and others address custody and client-asset rules but do not define an Effective PoR / Stage framework like this document. See Appendix H.


Part II — Standards for Effective Disclosure

Chapter 5 — Why CEXs Need PoR Audit: Dual-Track with Traditional Audit

5.1 Two meanings of “audit”

Term This whitepaper means Typical output Typical performer
Traditional audit Reasonable assurance on financial statements Audit opinion, going concern, ICF Licensed accounting firm
PoR audit / review Verification that customer liabilities under a defined snapshot are covered by reserves per disclosed scope Artifacts, Merkle/zk proofs, verifier output, AUP Accounting AUP, security firm, technical reviewer

Colloquial “PoR audit” must not be read as financial statement audit with a different name.

5.2 Six reasons users and regulators need PoR audit

① Withdrawals can happen anytime—runs are fast.
Balances feel like demand deposits; crises unfold in days or hours. Annual audits are misaligned with user timing risk.

② Money sits in many places—“company has assets” ≠ “your coins exist.”
Reserves span hot/cold wallets, staking, earn, affiliates. Financial statement line items do not automatically prove customer-level backing.

③ Technology allows public liability commitments.
Merkle trees and zk systems can commit to total user liabilities while letting each user check inclusion—something traditional audit does not typically expose for public rerun.

④ Crises happen between audit periods.
FTX and Celsius showed months-long windows where a prior clean opinion did not protect customer funds.

⑤ Marketing outruns evidence.
“100% backed,” “audited,” “ZK verified” are often misread as personal safety. PoR audit decomposes slogans into downloadable, rerunnable materials—or marks gaps UNVERIFIABLE.

⑥ Audit process is not publicly rerunnable (complement to ⑤).
Financial audit relies on professional independence and workpapers users never see. Effective PoR adds public evidence for custody-specific claims—not an accusation of audit fraud, but a different trust boundary.

5.3 Summary table

User concern Traditional audit usually covers PoR audit adds
Can I withdraw? Going concern at entity level Snapshot: liabilities vs reserves in scope
Where are coins? “Digital assets” on balance sheet Concrete addresses + control proofs
Is my balance counted? Generally not user-verifiable Liability commitment + inclusion path
Last year was clean—am I safe now? Periodic (quarter/year) Shorter snapshot cadence + archives
“100% reserves” true? Does not auto-verify on-chain slogans Artifacts + explicit gaps

CEXs sell custody and redemption, not an annual report alone. Users and regulators need to know what is owed to customers and whether outsiders can check—that is the purpose of PoR audit.

5.4 Clean financial audit still requires effective PoR

Financial audit asks whether company accounts are fairly stated. Effective PoR asks whether customer liabilities are backed and outsiders can verify. A clean opinion on the former does not imply the latter.

Dimension Financial audit Effective PoR
Question Are statements fair? Are scoped liabilities backed at a snapshot?
User-level rerun Generally no Core artifacts should be public
Interval Quarter/year Monthly or better for custody evidence
“Audited” slogan Entity financials Must not subsume PoR scope

FTX (2022.11): Audit ecosystem and reputation coexisted with customer fund commingling—illustrating why custody needs its own reproducible track.

5.5 Five common misuses

Misuse Harm Correct framing
Financial audit opinion = effective PoR False safety on custody Dual-track disclosure
User inclusion only “I verified me” ≠ whole exchange State global proof / wallet artifacts
Third-party AUP on BTC only Narrow asset window Disclose scope and exclusions
“Big Four audited PoR” Brand laundering Name review type and artifacts
ZK marketing without public vk/bundle LOGIN_WALL / UNVERIFIABLE Stage 0 cap

5.6 Report taxonomy (do not conflate)

Type Shows
Technical verification Artifacts reproducible
AUP / agreed-upon procedures Steps performed; usually no overall assurance
Limited assurance Limited scope on defined procedures
Reasonable assurance / financial audit Company financials; may exclude PoR liability scope

Chapter 6 — Concepts and Terminology

6.0 Terminology chain

Disclosure → PoR audit / review → Effective PoR (Stage 1+) → Public Stage record
Term Meaning Common misuse
Has PoR Published a page or one-off proof ≠ effective PoR
PoR audit Third-party work on snapshot materials ≠ financial audit
Effective PoR Independently reproducible global core evidence (Stage 1+) ≠ no risk, ≠ going concern
Stage rating Primary maturity label Gen/E lenses do not upgrade Stage

Three data planes (keep separate)

  1. Reserve side: wallet_address_list, block heights, wallet_ownership_proof
  2. Liability side: global_proof, root/vk/config, inclusion proofs
  3. Summary side: reserve ratios, scope, cross-binding to (1) and (2)

6.1 Auxiliary lenses: Gen and E Level

Stage is the primary public label. Gen and E Level are explanatory lenses only—they do not upgrade Stage and must not be marketed as parallel ratings.

Lens Question it answers Levels (summary)
Gen (technology generation) What proof technology does the exchange use? Gen 0: no PoR · Gen 1: Merkle inclusion · Gen 2: Merkle + global ZK · Gen 3: advanced / continuous (aspirational)
E Level (evidence availability) How much can outsiders obtain and rerun? E0: no usable artifacts · E1: summary and/or inclusion only · E2: key artifacts public and reproducible · E3: E2 + anchoring, DA, low-friction inclusion, high frequency (Stage 2 candidate)

Common misread: Gen 2 + E2 ≠ Stage 1. Binance publishes Gen 2–class marketing and partial E2 artifacts (summary, wallet_address_list) but remains Stage 0 when wallet_ownership_proof, global_proof, and vk/config are not permissionlessly available (Chapter 10).

6.2 Verifier verdicts

Independent reruns should use explicit outcomes—never treat silence as approval:

Verdict Meaning
PASS Check succeeded on public artifacts for the bound snapshot
FAIL Check failed; artifact or claim inconsistent
WARN Partial pass with material caveats (scope, RPC, timing)
UNVERIFIABLE Required input missing or not independently obtainable—not PASS

Floor flags (e.g. LOGIN_WALL, NO_WALLET_OWNERSHIP_PROOF) cap Stage or confidence when triggered. See Appendix B.


Chapter 7 — PoR Stage Framework

Philosophy borrowed from L2BEAT Stages: Stage measures trust minimization, not a security seal. Domain differs: CEX reserves, not L2 rollups.

7.1 Stage overview

Stage Name Effective PoR? User still trusts
Pre-Stage No usable PoR No Brand, reports, regulation
Stage 0 Trust the exchange No Exchange narrative
Stage 1 Verifiable disclosure Yes (minimum) Proof boundaries, artifact maintenance
Stage 2 Trust-minimized Yes (target) Crypto + public data + canonical records

7.2 Pre-Stage and Stage 0

Pre-Stage (any): No public PoR in 12 months; PoR stopped; marketing only; financial reports without PoR artifacts; on-chain treasury display without liability side.

Stage 0 (all): Ongoing disclosure; snapshot boundaries; at least summary or user inclusion; exportable inclusion if offered; open-source verifier or spec.

Typical Stage 0 blockers: no public wallet_address_list, wallet_ownership_proof, or global_proof; opaque trusted setup; login-walled bundles.

7.3 Stage 1 — minimum effective PoR (all required)

ID Requirement
S1-1 Meets all Stage 0 thresholds
S1-2 Public wallet_address_list + block height, on-chain checkable
S1-3 Public batch-verifiable wallet_ownership_proof
S1-4 Public global_proof + root/vk/config, locally rerunnable; no login wall on liability side
S1-5 Permissionless download of all core artifacts: summary, wallet_address_list, wallet_ownership_proof, global_proof, vk/config—no registration, login, cookies, API key, ticket, or manual approval
S1-6 Independent third-party review with type disclosed
S1-7 summary ↔︎ reserve aggregate and summary ↔︎ liability root cross-bound
S1-8 Public trusted-setup transcript or transparent-setup proof system
S1-9 Historical snapshots archivable, not only current webpage
S1-10 Proof boundary documented: covered vs excluded liabilities (earn, margin, off-balance-sheet)

S1-5 emphasis: Independent reviewers, media, regulators, and the public must fetch the same artifact set without an account relationship. VIP-only bundles, reviewer-only packages, or split-view releases cap at Stage 0 (LOGIN_WALL floor)—even if other items pass.

Stage 1 equivalent statement:

Aside from implementation bugs and collusion, a third party that long-term fails to detect forged solvency must rely on the exchange replacing artifacts or reviewer collusion—not on “the exchange says it controls these addresses.”

Reference implementation in public set: OKX snapshot 506872725.

7.4 Stage 2 — trust-minimized PoR (directional target)

No complete industry instance at time of writing. Stage 2 builds on all Stage 1 requirements plus the following hard thresholds:

ID Requirement
S2-1 Meets all Stage 1 thresholds
S2-2 Business-consistent constraints — proof covers actual business risk (lending, margin, collateral haircuts, etc.); no negative-net-worth dummy users or liability offset
S2-3 On-chain anchoring — root / proof commitment on-chain with non-deletable historical chain
S2-4 Data availability — proof packages, vk, config, wallet_address_list on stable public layer (on-chain, IPFS, DA)
S2-5 Low-friction user verification — exportable inclusion proof with Web/WASM/GUI path bound to public root
S2-6 Permissionless replay — core verification without login or API key; prefer on-chain verifier when ZK is used
S2-7 Parameter and version anchoring — vk/config/verifier version commitments on-chain/DA with audit trail
S2-8 Anti-timing frequency — e.g. weekly full PoR + daily root anchoring + event-triggered updates; monthly-only snapshots insufficient
S2-9 Review independence — reviewer vs technology-provider conflicts disclosed

Stage 2 equivalent statement:

Any user can low-barrier verify inclusion; any observer can verify the canonical root for the period; proof constraints reflect real business risk; the exchange cannot unilaterally rewrite anchored history or extend unproven windows.

Third-party archiving ≠ official Stage 2. Observer anchors prove “this third party saw these artifacts,” not exchange-operated canonical anchoring.

7.5 Business consistency and risk flags

Risk theme Concern Typical flag
Negative-net-worth dummy users Inflated solvency Stage 2 constraints
Lending/margin outside proof Scope < real risk scope.exclusions
Earn vs spot conflation User confusion Ch. 1, 8 linkage
Login wall / sample-only Apparent PoR, Stage 0 LOGIN_WALL, SAMPLE_ONLY
No ownership / opaque setup Reserve side untrusted NO_WALLET_OWNERSHIP_PROOF
Server-only hosting History rewrite NO_CANONICAL_ANCHOR
Monthly-only snapshots Timing window Stage 2 frequency

7.6 Gap discipline and confidence


Chapter 8 — Minimum Effective PoR Policy (Actionable Clauses)

8.1 Layer 1 (disclosure track)

8.2 Layer 2 (admission track)

Stage ratings do not apply. Tools: licensing, warnings, domain/payment blocks, criminal enforcement. User education: no public artifact → treat as no custody guarantee (Chapter 11.5).

8.3 Do not conflate


Part III — How to Verify

Chapter 9 — Evidence Chain and Independent Verification

9.1 End-to-end flow

Exchange publishes artifacts
  → Content-addressed capture (URL, fetch time, content hash)
  → Independent verifier rerun (PASS / FAIL / WARN / UNVERIFIABLE)
  → Artifact bundle root + verification bundle root
  → Optional on-chain anchor (digest only, not bulk data)
  → Public report + gap list bound to snapshot ID

Each public rating must answer: which snapshot, which artifacts, which verifier version, which gaps remain.

9.2 Step 1 — Permissionless artifact fetch (S1-5 test)

From a clean browser session with no exchange account:

  1. Locate the exchange’s public PoR landing page or API index for the current snapshot ID.
  2. Attempt direct download of all core artifacts: summary, wallet_address_list, wallet_ownership_proof, global_proof, vk/config.
  3. Record HTTP status, file hashes, and fetch timestamp. Any registration, login, cookie gate, API key, ticket, or manual approval → LOGIN_WALL floor (Stage 0 cap).

9.3 Step 2 — Verifier rerun

  1. Obtain the exchange’s open-source verifier or published algorithm spec (Appendix H.3).
  2. Run reserve-side checks: address list vs on-chain balances at declared block height; wallet_ownership_proof batch verification.
  3. Run liability-side checks: global_proof + vk/config locally; cross-bind summary ↔︎ reserve aggregate ↔︎ liability root.
  4. If user inclusion_proof is tested, confirm it binds to the same public root—single-user PASS ≠ exchange-wide solvency PASS.

9.4 Step 3 — Record and publish

Bind the assessment to:

Field Purpose
Snapshot ID + snapshot time Scope boundary
Artifact URLs + SHA-256 hashes Reproducibility
Verifier name + version Method transparency
Per-check verdicts PASS / FAIL / WARN / UNVERIFIABLE
Floor flags + max Stage Weakest-link caps
Confidence medium / low when friction or partial RPC

9.5 Worked example — OKX Stage 1 snapshot 506872725

Illustrative sequence (mid-2026 public evaluation set):

  1. Anonymous fetch: Download summary, wallet_address_list, wallet_ownership_proof, global_proof, and vk/config from OKX public PoR endpoints without logging in.
  2. Reserve side: Verify address signatures in wallet_ownership_proof; reconcile listed addresses to on-chain balances at the declared snapshot boundary (expect some WARN/UNVERIFIABLE on exotic chains or omnibus labels).
  3. Liability side: Run the OKX open-source global ZK verifier (github.com/okx/proof-of-reserves-v2) against the public bundle; confirm summary Merkle root matches global_proof commitment.
  4. Stage call: All S1-1–S1-10 hard thresholds met → Stage 1 / effective PoR Yes, with confidence medium (no official canonical on-chain anchor, monthly cadence vs Stage 2 frequency, business-constraint gaps).
  5. What this does not prove: No freeze immunity, no hack protection, no coverage of earn/margin outside documented proof boundary.

9.6 Boundaries

  1. Third-party archive anchors prove “this observer saw these artifacts”—not official Stage 2.
  2. Ratings are evidence records bound to artifacts, hashes, and verifier output.
  3. Coverage gaps (e.g. partial on-chain RPC failures) ≠ proof of insolvency.

9.7 Independent registry role (ardmere)

Function Description
Transparency registry Reproducible verifier toolchain and public Stage records
Evidence binding Each record links artifacts, content hashes, and verifier output
Policy use Reference index for regulators, institutions, and independent reviewers

ardmere does not hold user funds, issue licenses, or perform financial statement audits. Empirical exchange assessments for the public evaluation set are in Chapter 10.


Part IV — Industry State and Path Forward

Chapter 10 — Assessed Exchanges (Public Evaluation Set)

10.1 Scope

This chapter covers exchanges in the ardmere public evaluation set—venues with published transparency assessments and machine-readable evaluation records (exchange-assessment@1 schema). It is not an industry-wide ranking: Kraken, Coinbase, and others are out of scope unless separately assessed.

Exclusion from scoreboard: JPEX, 2139, CoinUp (Layer 2 or Type E)—discussed in Chapter 3, not ranked alongside Layer 1.

Forward-looking note: Stages bind to specific snapshot IDs and assessment dates. A Stage label does not predict future snapshots, operational safety, or solvency.

10.2 Summary table (mid-2026)

Exchange Snapshot Assessed Stage Gen / E Effective PoR Headline gaps
OKX 508399035 2026-06-18 Stage 1 Gen 2 / E2 Yes No canonical anchor; monthly cadence; business-constraint gaps vs Stage 2
Binance PR01JUN26 2026-06-01 Stage 0 Gen 2 / E2 No No public wallet_ownership_proof, global_proof/vk; opaque trusted setup
Bybit 2025061709 2025-06-17 Stage 0 Gen 1 / E1 No Inclusion path only; no public wallet list or global proof
Bitget 202605 2026-05-27 Stage 0 Gen 1 / E1 No Weak 64-bit Merkle; no wallet list / global proof
Gate.io 20260316 2026-03-16 Stage 0 Gen 1 / E1 No Summary public; zk bundle login-gated; no wallet list
HTX 20230910 2023-09-10 Stage 0 Gen 1 / E1 No 2023 sample zk only; no current production public bundle

10.3 OKX — Stage 1 reference (506872725)

10.4 Binance (PR01JUN26)

10.5 Bybit (2025061709)

10.6 Bitget (202605)

10.7 Gate.io (20260316)

10.8 HTX (20230910)

Official upstream verifier repositories are listed in Appendix H.3.


Chapter 11 — Roadmap and Policy Recommendations

11.0 Three parallel roadmaps

Track Horizon Goal Observable success
Industry disclosure 12–24 mo Headline CEXs: Stage 0 marketing → reproducible Stage 1 Permissionless artifacts; fewer LOGIN_WALL flags
Regulation & admission 24–36 mo Disclosure + enforcement together Stage 1 in VATP-style rules; warning lists operational
User behavior Ongoing “Can trade” ≠ “custody safe” Pre-deposit checklist adoption; large balances self-custodied or Stage 1+

PoR does not eliminate CeFi risk, but it can turn “we can’t tell” into a gap list. Policy and user education should stop Stage 0 slogans on Layer 1 while helping users spot Layer 2 with no artifacts.

11.1 Regulators: dual-track + phased agenda

Disclosure track (Layer 1): Stage 1 floor in license conditions; label Stage 0; require permissionless artifacts (S1-5); bind review type to artifact scope.

Admission track (Layer 2): Licensing, investor alerts, domain blocks, cross-border cooperation—Stage framework does not rate fraud platforms.

Phase Timing Disclosure track Admission track
P0 0–12 mo Mandate artifact index + URLs; ban “audited reserves” without artifacts National warning portals; rapid alerts after major fraud
P1 12–24 mo Codify Stage 1 minimum; dual-track audit/PoR disclosure Clarify unlicensed custody/collecting criminal/civil liability
P2 24–36 mo Pilot Stage 2 elements (anchoring, frequency, business constraints) Cross-border warning sharing; ad/app store admission rules

Avoid: PoR page without effective PoR definition; financial audit alone for crypto custody; dismissing PoR because of JPEX; PoR without liability side.

11.2 Institutional allocators and brokers

Counterparty tiers:
- Tier A: Stage 1+, reproducible artifacts, bounded gaps
- Tier B: Stage 0 / material UNVERIFIABLE — limits, shorter review cycle
- Tier C: No artifacts or Layer 2 signals — zero tolerance

Due diligence minimum: download current artifacts; verify S1-5; never equate inclusion with exchange-wide solvency; file PoR Stage beside license and financial audit.

11.3 Exchanges (Layer 1 upgrade path)

P0: wallet_ownership_proof, permissionless global_proof + vk, trusted-setup transparency.
P1: proof boundary docs; machine-readable review artifacts.
P2: historical archives; crisis communication discipline (no “maintenance” masking liquidity).

Align each exchange’s open-source verifier repositories (see Appendix H) with production proof versions.

11.4 Media and independent reviewers

Five questions before publishing: Layer 1 or 2? Ever had reproducible artifacts? Financial or PoR audit? Inclusion or global solvency? Does timeline since FTX support “industry safe”?

11.5 Retail users and self-custody participants

On an exchange you hold an IOU, not keys. PoR helps outsiders check before a crisis whether owed balances were backed—it does not guarantee no freeze, hack, or bankruptcy. Goal: avoid fake platforms, limit exposure on real ones, know when to withdraw.

Three checks before depositing

Step Ask yourself Pass Fail
① Real exchange? License or clear regulator registration? Recent warnings? Traceable license Treat as Layer 2—no large deposits
② Fetchable evidence? Can you download reserve materials without registering? Public URLs or independent report lists artifacts Convenience account only—no large balances
③ Marketing red flags? Guaranteed returns, “100% safe,” pressure to recruit? None Ponzi / scam pattern

By amount and horizon

Situation Guidance
Small, short-term trading Licensed CEX after three checks; limit size
Large or long-term hold Prefer self-custody; if CEX required, prefer Stage 1 with few gaps
Earn / leverage products Ask if PoR covers that account type—often spot-only
Derivatives-only venues PoR usually addresses spot custody, not contract margin stack

Warning signals while deposited

Slow withdrawals, sudden KYC escalation, hack/restructuring news, PoR publications stopping, rumor cycles without public artifacts (CoinUp pattern)—reduce exposure; do not average down on faith alone.

If something goes wrong

Screenshot balances and announcements; file complaints with regulators where applicable; beware recovery scams demanding fees to “unfreeze”; understand bankruptcy may treat you as a creditor, not asset owner.

Do not assume

Myth Reality
PoR = cannot exit scam AAX, WazirX still hurt users
I verified my leaf = exchange solvent Inclusion ≠ global proof (Bybit class)
Big exchange = Stage 1 Binance assessed Stage 0 on public pipeline
Audit report = my coins safe Financial audit ≠ effective PoR
“Withdrawals normal” = proof Without artifacts, you cannot verify (CoinUp)

Advanced users: read transparency reports for UNVERIFIABLE rows; use inclusion tools only with root binding to public summary; see community guides (Appendix H).

11.6 Industry technology roadmap (12–36 months)

Horizon Target Blocker
0–12 mo Permissionless Stage 1 artifacts at majors Login walls, missing ownership
12–24 mo Business-consistent proof pilots Circuit complexity
24–36 mo Stage 2: anchoring, DA, frequency No full industry reference yet

11.7 Jurisdiction notes (non-exhaustive)

Region PoR-relevant point
Hong Kong SFC VATP Client asset trust rules; PoR alone may not show full liabilities—dual-track with audit
EU MiCA CASP custody obligations
US Federal/state patchwork; entity scope matters
Emerging markets Layer 2 fraud prevalence—admission + user §11.5 first

See Appendix H.6 for IOSCO, SFC, MiCA pointers.

11.8 Priority matrix

Action Lead Verify by
Stage 1 in regulation Regulators Artifact compliance rate
Permissionless global proof Exchanges Anonymous download tests
Warning lists Enforcement Post-alert onboarding drop
PoR due diligence Institutions Counterparty files with Stage + hash
Three-step user checks Education Fraud complaint patterns
Independent registry Third parties (e.g. ardmere) Public UNVERIFIABLE discipline

Closing: Effective PoR constrains disclosure and aids recognition—not a CeFi safety cure. Regulators, exchanges, institutions, and users must act on four lines in parallel.


Appendices

Appendix A — Stage 1 Practical Checklist

The Stage 1 requirements S1-1 through S1-10 are defined in Chapter 7.3. Use this appendix as a field checklist when assessing a snapshot.

S1-5 quick test: from a clean browser session with no exchange account, attempt direct download of all core artifacts for the current snapshot. Any registration/API gate → Stage 0 cap.

Appendix B — Machine-Readable Rules

Stage thresholds, evidence levels, and risk flags are expressed as structured rules for automation. Independent reviewers should encode the same logic when building assessment pipelines.

B.1 Stage requirement IDs

Stage IDs Rule
Stage 0 S0-1 … S0-5 Minimum ongoing PoR + snapshot boundary + summary or inclusion + reproducible inclusion rules + open verifier/spec
Stage 1 S1-1 … S1-10 All Stage 0 + public bilateral artifacts + S1-5 permissionless download + review + cross-binding + proof boundary
Stage 2 S2-1 … S2-9 All Stage 1 + business constraints + anchoring + DA + low-friction inclusion + frequency + review independence
Flag Typical stage cap Trigger
LOGIN_WALL Stage 0 Core artifacts require login, API key, or manual approval
SAMPLE_ONLY Stage 0 Only sample proof public; production bundle unavailable
NO_WALLET_OWNERSHIP_PROOF Stage 0 No batch-verifiable address control proof
NO_CANONICAL_ANCHOR Stage 1 (blocks Stage 2) Server-only hosting; no official on-chain/DA anchor
OPAQUE_TRUSTED_SETUP Stage 0 No public MPC transcript or transparent setup
BUSINESS_CONSTRAINT_GAP Stage 1 (blocks Stage 2) Proof does not cover lending/margin/collateral risks
HIGH_FREQUENCY_GAP Stage 1 (blocks Stage 2) Monthly-only snapshots without daily anchoring
HIGH_FRICTION_INCLUSION_PROOF Stage 1 (blocks Stage 2) Inclusion requires CLI-heavy flow
UNVERIFIABLE confidence ↓ / stage block Required evidence missing—not PASS

B.3 Verdict and schema

Appendix C — Artifact Vocabulary

Artifact Role
summary / bapiSnapshot Reserve ratios, merkle root metadata, scope
wallet_address_list Reserve-side addresses and balances
wallet_ownership_proof Control signatures or equivalent
global_proof Liability-side zk/Merkle bundle
vk/config Verifier parameters
user_inclusion_proof Per-user path (supplement, not substitute for global)

Appendix D — Review Taxonomy

See Chapter 5.6 for report types that must not be conflated (technical verification, AUP, limited assurance, reasonable assurance / financial audit).

Appendix E — Major Case Index

Case Year Type Layer User recovery (as of drafting)
Mt. Gox 2014 Long-term insolvency / hack 1 Partial repayments from 2024
FTX 2022.11 Customer fund misuse 1 Bankruptcy distribution ongoing
AAX 2022–23 Freeze / alleged misuse 1 Liquidation / criminal process
JPEX 2023 Unlicensed fraud 2 Prosecution; limited recovery
WazirX 2024.7 Hack + governance 1 Restructuring disputed
2139 Exchange 2024 Ponzi fake platform 2 Minimal recovery
CoinUp 2026.06 Unconfirmed exit / trust crisis weak 2 / 1 Operating per official statements; unconfirmed shutdown

Amounts per public regulatory and press sources; update as investigations conclude.

Appendix F — Dual-Layer Risk Diagram

flowchart TB
  subgraph L1["Layer 1 — Disclosure"]
    CEX[Licensed / semi-regulated CEX]
    ST[Stage framework]
    ART[Artifact replay + gap list]
    CEX --> ST --> ART
  end
  subgraph L2["Layer 2 — Admission"]
    FAKE[Unlicensed fake exchanges]
    ENF[Licensing + warnings + enforcement]
    FAKE --> ENF
  end
  USER[User sees word exchange] --> L1
  USER --> L2

Layer 1 (disclosure): PoR Stage separates effective from marketing disclosure; policy tools include Stage 1 floors, artifact replay, and explicit UNVERIFIABLE gaps.

Layer 2 (admission): Policy tool is licensing, warnings, blocks, and enforcement—not Stage ratings.

Post-FTX PoR marketing primarily addressed Layer 1; many post-FTX victim platforms were Layer 2. See Chapter 3.3 and the Executive Summary dual-layer table.

Appendix G — Public Evidence Archive

Each public assessment should bind:

Field Example
Exchange + snapshot ID okx / 506872725
Snapshot time (UTC) 2026-05-06T16:00:00Z
Artifact URLs Public PoR endpoint URLs at fetch time
Content hashes SHA-256 per file + bundle root
Verifier + version e.g. global-zk-proof@okx-v2
Per-check verdicts address-ownership: PASS, on-chain-btc: WARN
Stage + confidence Stage 1, medium
Risk flags NO_CANONICAL_ANCHOR, …
Optional anchor On-chain digest of bundle root (third-party or official)

Historical records must remain addressable after exchanges change landing pages—archivers should store content-addressed copies, not rely on mutable URLs alone.

Appendix H — Industry References and Positioning

Positioning: Academic solvency papers, Vitalik’s 2022 essay, Chamber PoR Practitioner’s Guide, exchange tech specs, and IOSCO custody guidance exist—but no widely adopted public policy whitepaper combines Effective PoR Stage floors, dual-track audit, dual-layer risk, and artifact-bound ratings as this document does.

H.1 Academic and cryptographic lineage

Work Link Relevance
Provisions (2015) https://eprint.iacr.org/2015/1008.pdf Early privacy-preserving proof of solvency
Summa https://summa.gitbook.io/summa/ Merkle sum trees
IZPR (2023) https://eprint.iacr.org/2023/1156.pdf Incremental ZK proof of reserve
Xiezhi (2024) https://eprint.iacr.org/2024/2001.pdf Succinct end-to-end ZK proof of solvency
LPOR (2026) https://arxiv.org/pdf/2606.08211 Layered proof of reserve

H.2 Industry essays and guides

Work Link
Vitalik, “Having a safe CEX: proof of solvency and beyond” (2022) https://vitalik.eth.limo/general/2022/11/19/proof_of_solvency.html
Chamber of Digital Commerce, Proof of Reserves: The Practitioner’s Guide https://niccarter.info/wp-content/uploads/Proof-of-Reserves-.pdf

H.3 Exchange technical specifications (single-venue; not industry policy)

Exchange Repository or spec
OKX https://github.com/okx/proof-of-reserves · https://github.com/okx/proof-of-reserves-v2
Binance https://github.com/binance/zkmerkle-proof-of-solvency
Gate.io https://github.com/gateio/proof-of-reserves
Bybit https://github.com/bybit-exchange/merkle-proof
Bitget https://github.com/BitgetLimited/proof-of-reserves
HTX https://github.com/huobiapi/Tool-Go-MerkleVerify

H.4 Regulation (custody and client assets; not PoR Stage frameworks)

Source Link
IOSCO crypto policy recommendations (2023) https://www.iosco.org/library/pubdocs/pdf/IOSCOPD747.pdf
Hong Kong SFC VATP guidelines (Appendix B) https://www.sfc.hk/-/media/EN/assets/components/codes/files-current/web/guidelines/Guidelines-for-Virtual-Asset-Trading-Platform-Operators/Appendix-B–Guidelines-for-Virtual-Asset-Trading-Platform-Operators-Eng.pdf

H.5 L2BEAT Stages (philosophical analogue, different domain)

Reference Link Note
L2BEAT Stages https://l2beat.com/stages Rollup trust minimization—not CEX reserves

H.6 Jurisdiction and policy pointers (non-exhaustive)

Source Link PoR-relevant note
IOSCO crypto policy recommendations (2023) https://www.iosco.org/library/pubdocs/pdf/IOSCOPD747.pdf Custody, client-asset protection; no Effective PoR Stage framework
Hong Kong SFC VATP guidelines (Appendix B) https://www.sfc.hk/-/media/EN/assets/components/codes/files-current/web/guidelines/Guidelines-for-Virtual-Asset-Trading-Platform-Operators/Appendix-B–Guidelines-for-Virtual-Asset-Trading-Platform-Operators-Eng.pdf Client asset trust rules; dual-track with audit
EU MiCA (Regulation 2023/1114) https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32023R1114 CASP custody and safeguarding obligations
US regulatory landscape — Federal/state patchwork; entity and product scope determine custody rules

End of whitepaper draft.